Paul Ryan’s prospects are grim if he stays

first_imgCategories: Editorial, OpinionNew reporting, first by Huffington Post’s Matt Fuller and then by Politico’s Tim Alberta and Rachel Bade, suggests Paul Ryan is on his way out of the House — perhaps leaving at some point during the current Congress, but at any rate before the next one convenes in January 2019. That leaves Ryan (and Mitch McConnell or whoever replaces him) with all of the responsibility and all of the blame for actually trying to get anything done. The chances that the House Republican leader can survive two grinding years of that are slim indeed, and surviving it with a decent reputation among conservative activists would be even more difficult. And if Ryan stays put and manages to survive that stretch?It’s possible that Trump could prevail in 2020, returning Congress to Republican control in the process.But at least for now it seems less than likely.Ryan’s job would certainly be easier if Democrats swept in 2020. On the other hand, being in the minority is rarely fun.For much of this, Ryan has only himself to blame. Suppose Democrats fall short, and Republicans retain their majority.In this scenario, Speaker Ryan would be spending most of his time and energy struggling to build a real working majority.Most of the lost seats would belong to mainstream conservatives.The proportion of anti-compromise radicals within the Republican caucus would increase, and so would the number of them Ryan would need to reach 218 on any vote.Everything except for must-pass legislation would likely grind to a halt — it’s not as if they’ve been able to do much even with their current, relatively large, majority.Ryan would probably have no choice but to beg Democrats for votes — especially for the must-pass items — which in turn gives them leverage and radicals more reasons to call Ryan a sell out.If Democrats win enough seats for a majority, it gets even worse. With unified government, the job of the House minority leader is relatively easy: Non-stop criticizing of the president,  and developing messaging bills and amendments to make the majority look bad.But divided government is different.It produces compromises that leaders from both parties generally must support.For House Republican leaders, that’s a disaster because the Freedom Caucus will surely blame them for whatever deals are made.It’s grueling enough with a normal president, but Trump makes things even more so.When Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush cut deals with Democrats, Republican leaders could shrug at unhappy members of their caucus and point towards the White House.But Trump has shown zero ability to cut deals, and an impressive aptitude for undercutting whatever his party’s leaders are doing.center_img Whether those reports turn out to be true or not, Ryan has never appeared to see power in the House as a long-term career goal.And the medium-term outlook for Republican leaders in that chamber is extremely grim.Republicans are almost certain to lose seats in 2018.That’s what almost always happens during a president’s first midterm.And given Donald Trump’s awful approval ratings and the poor results for Republicans in 2017, it’s hard to see anything but a good year for Democrats.By the same token, it’s hard to see how Paul Ryan will avoid having the worst job in Washington.Unless, of course, he quits.  Not only has he made several errors during his speakership, he’s being criticized for running an overly centralized House, just like Jim Wright and Newt Gingrich.Meanwhile, his wonky reputation with the media has suffered mightily as his bills on health care and taxes landed with few signs of political or policy mastery.Just as was the case with his old mentor Jack Kemp, Ryan’s skills remain those of an ideological propagandist, not a legislator or a congressional tactician.There’s a place for those strengths in Congress, but it’s not a great fit for the Speaker’s chair.Perhaps he won’t be there much longer.Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg View columnist.More from The Daily Gazette:EDITORIAL: Urgent: Today is the last day to complete the censusEDITORIAL: Beware of voter intimidationEDITORIAL: Thruway tax unfair to working motoristsFoss: Should main downtown branch of the Schenectady County Public Library reopen?EDITORIAL: Find a way to get family members into nursing homeslast_img read more

Cesc Fabregas snubs Chelsea team-mates in his dream five-a-side team

first_imgAdvertisement Cesc Fabregas snubs Chelsea team-mates in his dream five-a-side team Comment Cesc Fabregas picked a star-studded five-a-side team (Picture: Getty)Cesc Fabregas didn’t name a single Chelsea player in his dream five-a-side team from players that he’s played with during his career.The Spaniard’s enjoyed a glittering career that’s been spent at elite European clubs such as Arsenal, Barcelona and Chelsea.Added to that is the hugely successful international career that Fabregas has enjoyed with Spain, where he’s won two European Championships and a World Cup.But some of Fabregas’ best football was played at Stamford Bridge, where he inspired the Blues to the Premier League title in his debut campaign in west London in 2015.AdvertisementAdvertisementADVERTISEMENTHowever, despite playing with the likes of N’Golo Kante, Eden Hazard and Diego Costa, Fabregas didn’t name a single Chelsea player in his dream five-a-side team and packed it instead with Spanish players and Thierry Henry.Speaking to Henry on Instagram Live, Fabregas said: ‘I need a goalkeeper, I’m an offensive coach but I need a goalkeeper. For what we experience together and the big moments we had together I will go with Iker [Casillas].‘He was incredible in big moments. I think Iker in important moments, the moments where it is history, I think I have to go for him. ‘By the way you’re [Henry] up front obviously, you’re in my all-time XI. ‘I would have to have Lionel Messi 100% because I think between you and him we’d score a few goals. Casillas is the player that will save them. Fabregas remains close friends with Messi (Picture: Getty)‘I have to say this is a player that a player in England everyone talks about him now but I played with him when I was 16 years old and it’s David Silva. I always had this understanding with him. There’s players that you never talk about as best in the world but I had special feeling with him. ‘We had a career with Spain growing up and then winning everything together. Iniesta and Silva are the two players that I always felt ‘wow’ I’m enjoying so much in midfield, they can pass and move. They have the intelligence that when I move forward they can drop to get it. You don’t need to be in the same position, you can change because other players are intelligent to fill the hole for you. I love that. ‘Silva and Iniesta have to be there for me. I don’t have any defender but I don’t care. I will have a goalkeeper that can save everything, two magicians in midfield and two GOATS [Greatest Of All Time] up front.MORE: Cesc Fabregas reveals he upset Arsenal star Nwankwo Kanu in very first training session Advertisement Metro Sport ReporterThursday 14 May 2020 9:45 pmShare this article via facebookShare this article via twitterShare this article via messengerShare this with Share this article via emailShare this article via flipboardCopy link2.7kShareslast_img read more

Church of Scientology Cruise Ship Quarantined in St. Lucia Over Measles Case

first_imgA cruise ship was quarantined in St. Lucia after a health official confirmed a case of measles onboard.  On Thursday, Dr. Merlene Fredericks-James, the nation’s chief medical officer said that passengers and crew were not allowed to leave the ship.The highly contagious disease, which can be prevented by a common vaccination, is in the midst of its largest outbreak in the United States in several years, with several hundred cases recently reported. The quarantine impacted close to 300 passengers and crew aboard a ship called the Freewinds, a 440-foot Caribbean-based ship owned and managed by the Church of Scientology. According to the church’s description, the ship is “a religious retreat ministering the most advanced level of spiritual counseling in the Scientology religion.”In January, St. Lucia said the Island was free of local transmission of measles since 1990. On Thursday, St. Lucia’s Ministry of Health and Wellness said it was providing the measles vaccine to people on the ship. The measles disease can spread when an infected person sneezes, coughs and/or breathes.last_img read more

#AFCONonCiti: We wanted to prove ourselves – Algeria’s Mehdi Abeid

first_imgAlgeria and Dijon midfielder has praised the players who came into the starting XI in their 3-0 win over Tanzania. Abeid was one of a number of players who had not started the first two games but were given the chance to show their talents against Tanzania. With qualification secured after wins against Senegal and Kenya the Desert Foxes elected to rest key players most notable Betis defender Aissa Mandi, Galatasaray winger Sofiane Feghouli, and Manchester City forward Riyad Mahrez. The second unit however did not disappoint with Leicester-owned striker Islam Slimani and Napoli winger Adam Ounas standing out as they combined for all 3 goals. Slimani excelled as a target man laying on two goals for Ounas whilst bagging the opener himself. Abeid indicated the earlier exclusions may have inspired the side to play at a high level as he told the media after the game “a lot of us didn’t play the first two games so we wanted to show we can do the job and we won 3-0”The rest and quality off the bench could prove decisive for Algeria as they have been drawn against one of the best 3rd placed teams in the next round and will play on July 7 at 7pm GMT. Source: Susu Graham | | Ghanalast_img read more